![]() This article aims at investigating the intersection of security and risk management practices, and how a seemingly methodological question within a security risk standard also has more fundamental and normative implications. Preventive security measures range from barriers such as surveillance systems and critical infrastructure protection, to fostering security cultures and individual responsibility.Ĭreating (national) security has for some time been interwoven with and managed trough tools and perspectives from risk and risk management (Vedby Rasmussen 2006 Aradau and Van Munster 2007 Petersen 2012 Heng 2018). Security and ‘securing’ have appeared high on the public agenda in recent decades and national security is not only a topic for the international arena, it is also to be created domestically. The article concludes that risk research could benefit from engaging with security theory, to investigate how risk management might be shaped by security practises. Michael Power’s three ideal models of risk management logics are introduced in the discussion as heuristic tools of a sensitizing kind. Risk assessment becomes difficult if there is little appetite for taking risk. On the other hand, they are supposed to create security, implying the opposite of scaling and risk acceptance. ![]() On the one hand, security analysts are supposed to deal with threats as risks, implying scaling, comparison and level of acceptance. A key finding is how risk assessment in areas of low tolerance for incidents introduces a discrepancy that is difficult to handle. Those arguing against the security risk standard point to the consequence of downplaying probability in risk estimates. Probability turns unlikely futures into lower risks than likely futures. Probability is, however, also a moderating factor. The argument against estimating probability is that it is often difficult or impossible. It shows how the downplaying of probability is defended, but also how it creates dilemmas and is criticized. The article builds on an exploratory study of the reasoning of security professionals in relation to a standard on security risk assessment. It discusses how the controversy can be interpreted and what it might tell us about security and risk. The article asks how the question of the probability of incidents is problematized and addressed by actors involved. This article investigates a controversy in Norway about the role of probability in risk assessment within security. Questions are raised on where, to what degree and against what the government and others should introduce preventive security measures. Security and ‘securing’ is high on the public agenda.
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